Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) For the first time this year, Zalatoris looks like himself again. Powers, Golf Digest: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) Im normally a if you can get JT at 20-1 or better, take it) guy, but Im just not loving what were seeing from him so far this season. Homa was splendid in his win at TPC Potomac, battling wet and nasty conditions all week long. Its a 30-player event with a guaranteed minimum prize pool of $395,000 for the winner. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," (above) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy. The Tulsa, Okla., course has changed quite a bit since then. Genesis: Justin Thomas. With that in mind, here are our 13 best bets ( odds via DraftKings) to hoist that gold trophy. He ranks third over the past 32 rounds in Strokes Gained: Approach and has continued to trend up. CJ Cup: Tyrrell Hatton. They will keep updating their pre-round odds based on the current standings and results on the leaderboards. With the importance of those skills at Riviera, it should be little surprise that he has missed the cut in all three trips to this event. So lets dive in. Golf betting record in 2023 through Sony: 3-5-1, -1.274 units (0-2 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets) One-and-Done record in 2023: $333,387.22 (Cam Davis taken at Sony, $41,387.22) PGA Tour expert. This season, hes tour average (-0.01), and hes having the worst approach and putting season in half a decade. Our results with players at this years Hot List testing show that some players cant carry a 5-iron farther than they fly a 7-iron. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. And even on prestigious stages, such as the Masters Tournament, when players like Charl Schwartzel and Angel Cabrera won against the odds of +10000 and +12500. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! There are plenty of Augusta National vibes in the terrain at Southern Hills, so the 2021 Masters champion should be very comfortable. Now were getting a little bold. Lets keep it rolling in Orlando. Bay Hill Club and Lodge will once again host this great event, which will begin on Thursday morning. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Sahith Theegala. The PGA TOUR has started its 2022-23 golf season, while LIV Golf has just wrapped up its inaugural season, and . Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's . Only he and Jon Rahm rank top-10 in SG/tee-to-green and SG/putting over the past 50 rounds, according to datagolf. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the third designated event in four weeks. Then it just comes down to the putter. World No. He hosts Inside Golf, a twice weekly podcast focused on the PGA Tour, betting, daily fantasy, golf course architecture, and interviews, as part of the BlueWire podcast network. Amateur in 2017, but no U.S. Open since 1948. At first glance, you might not consider Kitayama as a big boy with his 5-foot-7, 170-pound frame. Pick To Win: Hideki Matsuyama ($9,200 DraftKings | $10,800 FanDuel). Houston Open: Jason Day. Russell Henley, who had a three-stroke lead going into the final round of last years tournament before a six-man playoff, lost it in dramatic fashion in the final round. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keith Mitchell (50-1, Bet365) Mitchell proved he can hang with the big guns at Riviera, and he didnt have his A game on approach. Though still volatile, hes starting to get a hair more consistentposting three top-five finishes in his past eight starts. Hes been bleeding strokes back to the field the closer he gets to the green. You can bet on the outright winner. Mix in the fact hes gone fifth-eighth-15th-13th in his last four starts at API and youve got the recipe for a Florida Swing heater. Caddie: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) He cant play well every week, and I definitely dont see him going back to back again. At one point in the spring, Lowry displayed some of the best golf of his career at one point, and victory seemed to be within reach. Were burning another big name after whiffing of Fitzpatrick last week. Golf Digest - The news rattled through golf like a shockwave, rumbling from Florida to Puerto Rico. He's got 18.78 percent of the vote, followed by Will Zalatoris (15.66 percent) and Shane Lowry (15.46 percent). Before this week's PGA Tour event, McDonald has locked in his best bets for the 2023 Sony Open. Outside of that, hes showing significant improvement across the board and playing with plenty of confidence. Thats one of his better stretches since early 2020. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's . Adrian Meronk ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,500 FanDuel). PGA picks this week can be made or broken by the tiny variances in schedules and tournaments. He has four top-25 finishes in his past five starts at the PGA Championship. Zalatoris had a surprising missed cut last week at the AT&T Byron Nelson, but its not time to abandon him. (There were only nine courses last year where strokes gained/around the green was more correlated to success, per my RickRunGood.com course regression model. Rick Gehman, founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Powers, Golf Digest: Shane Lowry (65-1, FanDuel) Last week he was the toast of the town as the second favorite, and he wound up finishing top five. McIlroy, for his part, was T13 in his lone appearance here in 2021. Houston Open: Sepp Straka. In the last year, hes lost 0.24 strokes putting per round and has lost 0.09 per round in the short-game categories combined. Hes also earned five top-15 finishes in 2022, so hes comfortable with his name in contention. He has the ball-striking to put together a strong showing at Bay Hill, and while the putter is still hit-or-miss, its not nearly as bad as it used to be. Rookies, veterans, and journeymen all need good results at Sedgefield Country Club to ensure their place in the FedEx St, where the top 125 players will be announced next week at Jude Championship field in TPC Southwind. His advanced metrics show a well-rounded golfer who can compete in strong fields. When it comes to the largest tournaments, some bookmakers give up to 8 or 10 spots. Instead, Im taking guys like Schauffele, Rahm, Rory, Tony Finau, Justin Thomas and more out of the mix with the Top Rest of World on FanDuel. I simply had to find a way to get the two guys who have been head and shoulders above every player in the world over the past few months on this betting card and this feels like a great way to do so. Homa enters this week's event as one of the best putters on tour, ranking second . WM Phoenix Open DraftKings golf picks 2023: Best PGA DFS lineup. Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, NC, will host the Wyndham Classic in 2022, the final tournament before the FedEx Cup Playoffs. Thats going to be half the battle at Southern Hills and should allow Mitchell to often play from the correct position. The best thing about betting on golf is that there are so many ways to get involved. Despite the trouble guarding so many of the greens at PGA Nationals Champion course, Kirk managed to hit 54 of 72 greens to rank T-7 for the week, while posting a strokes gained/approach mark of 7.643 strokes gained on the field to rank second. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. When it comes to attacking the Sedgefield CC course, the South Korean has the ideal skill set, as he frequently splits fairways and ignites his scoring clubs. On top of that, hes doing it with accurate driving thats a little less than long but high-quality iron play, gaining 0.54 strokes per round on approach over his last 20 rounds. The well-rounded nature of Niemanns metrics, gaining strokes in all four major categories over his past 30 rounds, should provide him with everything he needs to contend this week. Scroll down to read our best bets for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Hatton has historically been a good iron player, gaining 0.25 strokes per round over his past 100 rounds. With just one missed cut and two finishes outside the Top 30 in a total of 15 starts abroad. In fact, the three times we did see him in 2022, he lost more than 18 total strokes to the field. To wager online, you must live in one of the jurisdictions that allow legal sports betting, such as Nevada or Delaware. After finishing T14 at this tournament last year, I like for Kirk to follow that up with another Top 20 at terrific odds. The PGA Championship will be held at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Oklahoma. There are several propositional bets available in addition to the more traditional bets that may be found for every tournament. From who they believe will be the leader at the end of each round to who they believe will finish first in various countries. LIV Golf star Peter Uihlein has revealed that he is 'much happier' playing on the breakaway circuit, after things didn't 'work out' over on the PGA Tour.. Uihlein has had a successful start to life as a LIV golfer, having secured three top-five finishes - including two runner-up spots - in 2022, whilst also finishing third in the season-long individual ranking. The Wake Forest star remains one of the best drivers of the ball on long golf courses, as well as one of the best long iron players in the field. PGA Championship picks 2022: Players to Fade This Week (who will disappoint) Caddie: Jon Rahm (11-1, DraftKings) There will be testy 5- to 10-footers all week and Rahm has been shaky at. Hopefully its one of his hot weeks. RELATED: Our latest podcast explores the gambling revolution already hitting golf, Pick To Win: Billy Horschel ($7,400 DraftKings | $9,100 FanDuel). Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. With the PGA picks this week, there could be a lot of drama on the leaderboard as well. LIV Golf Apparently Spent Over a Billion Dollars to Make Zero Dollars? His floor is very high right now, and he has two runner-up finishes in his past five trips to Riviera. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. Featured Recent Fantasy DFS Betting Hideki Matsuyama ($8,200 DraftKings | $10,100 FanDuel). 9 this week. If he can lean into either one of those talents and tap into that upside, Na could be a scary contender at Southern Hills. For instance Kim was one of the. . Only Scottie Scheffler has gained more strokes per round than Cantlay over the past 50 rounds. The best golf advice from our PGA expert picks is right here. Sahith Theegala ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,600 FanDuel). The field includes 44 of the top 50 . 1 and has won four times in his. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. Lowry is coming off a good week in Palm Beach Gardens but hasnt been able to solve Bay Hill.
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